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Chinese short dramas are sweeping the globe. Do you understand their underlying logic?

哈佛商业评论2026-03-17 08:16
What lessons should business leaders learn from this?

The entertainment industry is unlikely to be replaced by short dramas. People will still go to the cinema and follow long - form TV series. However, the global rise of Chinese short dramas and the emergence of AI - driven production systems indicate a power shift: the next wave of innovation in content and user engagement will be led by data - driven and AI - empowered players, who regard storytelling, experimentation, and monetization as an integrated system. For business leaders, the core question is: Can you operate in your own field like these companies?

In 2020, Quibi, a streaming platform with $1.75 billion in funding and a Hollywood background, emerged, vowing to reshape the TV experience for smartphones. However, it announced its closure within a few months. Its strategy was to cut Hollywood - style TV series into "fast - food" short videos suitable for mobile viewing.

Meanwhile, the number of Chinese short dramas (also known as micro - short dramas) soared from 336 in 2022 to 36,400 in 2024, serving over 660 million users and generating an annual revenue of about $5 billion, surpassing the box office of traditional Chinese movies. In early 2025, Chinese short - drama apps were downloaded 470 million times globally in a single quarter, with in - app revenue approaching $700 million.

This is not just a story about a new content form. Chinese local technology companies are using mobile video, data analysis, and artificial intelligence to build a "emotion - first" narrative business model — any business manager trying to attract consumers or monetize attention can learn from it.

From a marginal form to an efficient production system

Short dramas emerged in China around 2018 with the rise of Douyin and boomed during the pandemic when people stayed at home and stared at their phones. Each episode usually lasts 1 - 3 minutes, and a season has 50 - 100 episodes, shot in a vertical format optimized for smartphones. Blockbusters like "The Double Life of My Billionaire Husband" and "Never Divorce the Invisible Female Heiress" on ReelShort have become popular overseas.

The pioneers of this new form are not traditional film and television companies or tech giants like Baidu and Tencent, but flexible, Internet - native startups from adjacent fields: online literature platforms, mobile game studios, and digital publishing institutions. These companies started with text novels, expanded to audio stories, and then transformed the same intellectual property into short videos. Each step added sensory dimensions and monetization possibilities while keeping the core story engine unchanged. Stories have become cross - media, reconfigurable asset pipelines rather than one - time artworks.

The initial audience is not elite urban moviegoers, but new Internet users in lower - tier cities and rural areas, usually the elderly or blue - collar workers. They simply prefer high - intensity melodramas: intense, fast - paced, and emotionally direct plots. The generational gap has intensified this trend. China's younger generation no longer blindly follows traditional "taste authorities." They prefer highly personalized vertical story universes that precisely map their own sense of humor, inner anxieties, and hidden fantasies. In a social culture that values harmony, the private phone screen has become a rare space to explore emotions such as love, jealousy, and revenge without fear of judgment.

For business leaders in any industry, this model is familiar: When underserved audiences encounter new devices and distribution channels, new categories emerge, usually led by outsiders whose advantage lies in AI - driven data sensitivity and operational flexibility rather than traditional brand reputation.

Transforming storytelling into a testable system

Quibi tried to compress the Hollywood development process onto small screens. Producers selected ideas, screenwriters wrote complete scripts, and a budget of about $15 million per show was pre - approved — only to find that the audience response was mediocre. Chinese companies reversed this logic, regarding content as a system that can be continuously tested and optimized, borrowing three techniques from performance marketing, e - commerce, and mobile games.

1. Large - scale creative pre - testing

Producers break down story concepts into hundreds of short video ads, which incorporate suspense, clichés, lines, and character introductions. These ads are launched on platforms such as TikTok, Google, Meta, game platforms, and local platforms to measure click - through rates, viewing durations, and conversion rates of paid episodes. Only the best - performing combinations are approved for full production, significantly reducing risks.

2. Precise emotional design

Once a series enters production, key emotional moments — tears, conflicts, and reversals — are precisely planned to the second and designed as suspense points to trigger the consumption impulse of "following the series" and "unlocking the next episode." Emotional climaxes are regarded as product features. If data shows that a certain tense point or line consistently causes audience loss, it will be rewritten immediately during the production process.

3. Extreme compression of the production cycle

This "test - first" system enables short dramas to go from concept to launch in weeks rather than months or years. Producers can quickly capture emerging Internet memes, social anxieties, or collective fantasies and promptly eliminate drama models that no longer resonate.

AI is at the core of this system. As an industry executive told us, "AI has transformed single creative bets in the past into thousands of micro - experiments — we now design stories like product teams design funnels." Industry data supports this transformation. According to the "2025 White Paper on the Development of the Chinese Micro - Short Drama Market," AI tools have increased production efficiency by 50%, doubled production, and made animated short dramas the first large - scale commercialized AI video format.

In this audience - driven model, the creative authority has shifted from a "single visionary" to effective models revealed by behavioral data. Directors and screenwriters still make decisions, but they now work within a template framework shaped by millions of micro - interactions of real audiences. Scripts, casting, trailers, and even pacing have become variables in an optimization problem: how to maximize the emotional return per minute of audience attention.

A new profit model

Short - drama platforms have also rewritten the rules of the entertainment economy, going beyond the traditional binary model of "subscription vs. advertising." Many platforms adopt a "free + segmented unlocking" model: the first few episodes are free, and then audiences pay a small fee (usually a few cents) to unlock subsequent episodes. Highly engaged audiences may eventually spend the equivalent of a movie ticket or a monthly subscription fee, but this is achieved through dozens of frictionless micro - transactions with dynamic pricing for different user groups.

On top of this, in - feed advertising and performance marketing are added. Short - drama segments serve as both content and customer acquisition funnels. The A/B testing infrastructure used to optimize stories is also used to optimize advertising creativity for app installation, payment conversion, and user lifetime value. Platforms not only monitor which series audiences watch but also which hooks make them register, what triggers the first payment, and what causes churn.

The cutting - edge direction is deep integration with e - commerce. For example, during the "618" shopping festival in China in 2025, JD.com embedded short dramas in its app, allowing audiences to scan QR codes on the screen and directly jump to live broadcasts, flash sales, and giveaway activities without leaving the plot. The AI - empowered "search for the same product" function enables audiences to instantly locate and purchase products appearing in the drama. Plot nodes become shoppable moments; attention, emotion, and consumption converge in a single process.

Compared with the Hollywood model that relies on pre - sales, licensing, and subscription pricing, this monetization architecture is modular and incremental. It allows platforms to extract value at multiple nodes in the user engagement journey and adjust monetization levers frequently. Other industries can clearly learn from this: Profit models can be designed as flexible combinations rather than binary choices.

Redefining the global entertainment game

What started as a local niche market has now become a global template. Outside China, short - drama revenue is growing rapidly, and apps supported by China account for most of the global revenue.

Chinese platforms are competing to define the next generation of global entertainment. They have developed two distinct strategies for global expansion, targeting different market conditions and user profiles.

High - value localization. Platforms like ReelShort target high - income markets such as North America and Western Europe. They are no longer satisfied with simply translating Chinese blockbusters but directly invest in local production: using European and American actors, choosing familiar settings, while fully retaining the proven "core formula" from China — the micro - short drama form, strong hook openings, high - frequency reversal rhythms, and data - driven rapid iteration mechanisms. In these markets, customer acquisition costs are high, but the willingness to pay is also strong. Therefore, platforms maximize user lifetime value through in - app purchases, premium unlocks, and personalized services.

Scaled - up translation for overseas expansion. Other platforms (such as DramaBox) target emerging markets like Southeast Asia, South Asia, and Latin America, where users are price - sensitive but mobile - first and eager for low - cost entertainment. The core of their strategy is speed and scale: translating a large number of Chinese short dramas into multiple languages and then flooding the market. Monetization is more inclined to advertising - supported viewing, supplemented by optional low - cost upgrade packages, and distribution cooperation with local operators or smartphone manufacturers.

Behind these two strategies is a simple and powerful concept: Separate the "core formula" from the "experience layer." The formula — production process, rhythm template, testing infrastructure, monetization architecture — remains basically unchanged. The surface - level experience — casting, language, cultural elements — is adjusted according to local norms. This is the operating system design thinking of "glocalization."

Designed for fragmented time

An often - overlooked reason for the prosperity of short dramas lies in the type of time they occupy. Traditional film and television occupy "time worthy of serious treatment," such as evenings on the sofa or weekends at the cinema. A large amount of time in daily life, such as waiting in line, commuting, or during breaks in meetings, is left for informal content: emojis, social updates, and small talk.

Short dramas target precisely these fragmented time periods. With each episode as short as one minute, a vertical format, and an automatically playing in - feed, they can seamlessly fit into daily gaps. For platforms, these fragmented time periods have become a new attention market. Each fragmented time period may be short, but the accumulated time is considerable, and it can be divided into dozens of decision points: whether to watch another episode, whether to pay to unlock the next suspense, and whether to click on related products.

Managers in other industries can borrow this perspective. In customers' lives, which scenarios are overlooked — those that are too short, fragmented, or informal for your traditional products/services? Can you design lightweight, modular experiences (such as financial tools, learning modules, or health reminders) that can quietly integrate into these spaces, just as short dramas fit into waiting in line?

Risks and preventive measures

The characteristics that contribute to the success of short dramas also make them vulnerable.

Regulatory review. The low production cost and aggressive growth strategy have raised concerns about addictive design, minors' access, and opaque recommendation algorithms. Chinese regulatory authorities have taken action to classify short dramas more clearly, introduce content standards, and raise investment thresholds. As platforms go global, they will face similar reviews from foreign regulatory agencies.

Creative exhaustion and homogenization. When every second is optimized for retention, there is a temptation to reuse the same clichés (such as the domineering CEO's revenge, extremely melodramatic plots, and sensational reversals) at the expense of content finesse. Over - reliance on A/B testing may drive creators towards the safest common denominator, eroding long - term brand value.

Cultural backlash. When the model goes overseas, there is a risk of reinforcing stereotypes or conflicting with local norms. The rhythms and clichés that are cathartic in one context may seem exploitative or inappropriate in another. Platforms that only regard "localization" as a language issue will face the risk of reputational damage.

AI acceleration and intellectual property risks. Generative video models (such as ByteDance's Seedance 2.0) are expected to further compress the production cycle, reduce costs, and make it easier to test and iterate visual concepts. However, they also raise thorny issues regarding training data, copyright, and licensing. Mistakes may lead to lawsuits, boycotts, and regulatory intervention, threatening the entire business line.

For leaders inside and outside the entertainment industry, the strategic challenge is to harness data and AI while preventing metrics from swallowing meaning. This requires clear preventive measures: internal norms regarding emotional trigger taboos, algorithm transparency, and prudent communication with regulatory agencies.

Lessons for business leaders

Chinese short - drama platforms provide a case study showing how a technology - native, data - driven operating system can redefine a mature industry in the AI era. Here are four questions that business leaders in various industries should ask themselves when trying to learn from the success of this new form:

1. Is your design based on real - world usage scenarios?

The success of short dramas lies in their construction around the real - world ways people use their phones: short, fragmented time periods seeking emotional escape. Is your digital product designed around real emotional states (frustration, anxiety, desire) or just around your organizational structure and product line? Are you designing for the "hidden" moments in customers' lives (late - night scrolling, breaks while taking care of children, commuting) or only for formal touchpoints such as physical store visits or desktop sessions?

2. Is experimentation your operating system or just a side project?

On short - drama platforms, A/B testing is built into every layer of the workflow, from idea generation, scriptwriting to trailers and performance marketing. Can you also break down major decisions into testable components and let behavioral data (rather than organizational hierarchy) determine what is worth scaling up? This means not only tracking clicks but also using downstream signals such as repeat purchases, recommendations, and content completion as primary decision - making indicators rather than afterthoughts.

3. Is your profit model modular?

Short - drama platforms mix micro - transactions, memberships, sponsorships, and e - commerce instead of regarding revenue as a binary choice between advertising vs. subscription and free vs. paid. At which points in the customer journey can you insert small - value - added services that are natural for users and clearly contribute to the financial statements? How will you transform your existing content (tutorials, webinars, configurators) into shoppable experiences to achieve a one - click conversion from attention to transaction?

4. Can your "core formula" go global?

Chinese platforms separate the globally applicable formula (data, experimentation, monetization) from the local experience (casting, packaging, norms). They regard globalization as modular adaptation rather than simple replication: keeping the core engine unchanged while systematically localizing the experience layer. If you strip your product or service down to its core engine, what will it be? How adaptable is its surface layer in different markets, user groups, or usage scenarios? How can you build organizational capabilities to run multiple experiments simultaneously in different regions and learn from and improve each other?

The entertainment industry is unlikely to be replaced by short dramas. People will still go to the cinema and follow long - form TV series. However, the global rise of Chinese short dramas, the expansion of apps like ReelShort and DramaBox, and the emergence of AI - driven production systems all indicate a power shift: the next wave of innovation in content and user engagement will be led by data - driven and AI - empowered players, who regard storytelling, experimentation, and monetization as an integrated system.

For business leaders, the core question is: Can you operate in your own field like these companies?

By Haiyang Li, Chongqiao Xiong, and Romily Sun

Haiyang Li is a Distinguished Professor of Strategic Management and Innovation at the Jones Graduate School of Business at Rice University. His research focuses on technology entrepreneurship and innovation, platform strategy, and digital transformation, especially in the context of emerging markets. Chongqiao Xiong is a technology entrepreneur and former product strategist at TikTok and Google, responsible for strategic initiatives in global advertising product solutions. Romily Sun is an expert in the short - drama industry. She has worked at Tencent, ByteDance (Douyin), and Xiaohongshu, focusing on content strategy and user growth at leading Chinese platforms. Previously, she